Bandari
vs
Mathare United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 28% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bandari vs Mathare United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandari vs Mathare United
| Probability | Bandari | Draw | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.3% | 41.7% | 33.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.3% | 41.7% | 33.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Bandari vs Mathare United match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Bandari will face Mathare United, with the probabilities indicating a 25% chance of a Bandari win, a 42% likelihood of a draw, and a 33% chance for Mathare United to secure victory. The most probable scoreline, according to our model, is 0-0, with a 28% chance of occurring. Both teams have struggled to find the net, reflected in the expected goals of 0.60 for Bandari and 0.73 for Mathare United.
Recent form shows Bandari with a record of L-D-D-L-W-L, while Mathare United has a slightly better performance with D-L-D-W-L-W. In their last two encounters, each team has claimed one victory, highlighting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C, suggesting a degree of uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandari and Mathare United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.33
Bandari and Mathare United attack and defence ratings
Bandari
Mathare United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bandari vs Mathare United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandari | 25.3% |
| Draw | 41.7% | |
| Mathare United | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 14.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 85.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.5% |
| No | 75.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mathare United win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 67.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.7% |
| 0-1 | 18.1% | |
| 1-0 | 14.8% |
Bandari vs Mathare United stats
Bandari and Mathare United recent form
| Bandari |
LDDLWL |
| Mathare United |
DLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandari vs Mathare United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Mathare United | Bandari | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Bandari | Mathare United | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.