3K
vs
Nairobi United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nairobi United
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
3K vs Nairobi United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs Nairobi United
| Probability | 3K | Draw | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 29.7% | 35.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.7% | 29.7% | 35.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
3K vs Nairobi United match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match between 3K and Nairobi United, the probabilities indicate a closely contested encounter, with 3K at 35%, a draw at 30%, and Nairobi United slightly ahead at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for 3K stand at 1.23, while Nairobi United is forecasted to score 1.25.
Both teams have shown resilience in their recent performances, with 3K recording a sequence of W-D-D, and Nairobi United managing a series of D-D-D-W-D-D. The model suggests a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability that both teams will score, reflecting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
3K and Nairobi United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
3K and Nairobi United attack and defence ratings
3K
Nairobi United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs Nairobi United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nairobi United | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 34.7% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Nairobi United | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nairobi United win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
3K vs Nairobi United stats
3K and Nairobi United recent form
| 3K |
WDD |
| Nairobi United |
DDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.