Homeboyz
vs
Shabana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 23% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Homeboyz vs Shabana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Homeboyz vs Shabana
| Probability | Homeboyz | Draw | Shabana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 38.4% | 24.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.9% | 38.4% | 24.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Homeboyz vs Shabana match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Homeboyz will face Shabana with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Homeboyz has a 37% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 38% and Shabana at 25%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-0, with a probability of 23%. Expected goals for Homeboyz are 0.87, compared to Shabana's 0.66.
Recent form shows Homeboyz with a record of D-W-D-D-L-L, while Shabana has D-D-W-L-D-W. In their last two encounters, Homeboyz has not secured a win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Shabana. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Homeboyz and Shabana expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.54
Homeboyz and Shabana attack and defence ratings
Homeboyz
Shabana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Homeboyz vs Shabana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Homeboyz | 36.9% |
| Draw | 38.4% | |
| Shabana | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.5% |
| No | 70.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 61.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Homeboyz win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.7% |
| 1-0 | 17.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Homeboyz vs Shabana stats
Homeboyz vs Shabana head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Shabana | Homeboyz | Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Homeboyz | Shabana | Kenyan Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.