Murang'a SEAL
vs
KCB
Garuda Lions Prediction: Murang'a SEAL
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Murang'a SEAL vs KCB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Murang'a SEAL vs KCB
| Probability | Murang'a SEAL | Draw | KCB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 25.3% | 36.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.3% | 25.3% | 36.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Murang'a SEAL vs KCB match preview
Murang'a SEAL hosts KCB in a tightly contested match, with our model giving Murang'a SEAL a 38% chance of winning, while KCB stands at 36%. The likelihood of a draw is 25%. The expected goals for Murang'a SEAL is 1.64, slightly edging KCB's 1.60, suggesting a close encounter. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Murang'a SEAL, occurring with an 8% likelihood.
Recent form indicates that Murang'a SEAL has alternated results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while KCB has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. In their last two head-to-head meetings, Murang'a SEAL has secured one win and one draw against KCB, who has yet to win in this matchup. With a confidence grade of C, the match promises to be competitive.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Murang'a SEAL and KCB expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Murang'a SEAL and KCB attack and defence ratings
Murang'a SEAL
KCB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Murang'a SEAL vs KCB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Murang'a SEAL | 38.3% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| KCB | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Murang'a SEAL win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Murang'a SEAL vs KCB stats
Murang'a SEAL and KCB recent form
| Murang'a SEAL |
LWLWWL |
| KCB |
LWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Murang'a SEAL vs KCB head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | KCB | Murang'a SEAL | Kenyan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Murang'a SEAL | KCB | Kenyan Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.