KCB
vs
3K
Garuda Lions Prediction: KCB
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
KCB vs 3K overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KCB vs 3K
| Probability | KCB | Draw | 3K |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 28.3% | 30.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.8% | 28.3% | 30.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why KCB
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
KCB vs 3K match preview
KCB faces 3K in the Kenyan Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, KCB has a 41% chance of winning, while 3K stands at 31%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of KCB, with a probability of 9%. The expected goals for KCB are 1.44, compared to 1.22 for 3K, indicating a competitive matchup.
Recent form shows KCB with a record of W-D-W-W-L-D, while 3K has drawn in their latest match. Our model suggests a 50% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance that both teams will score, reflecting an expectation for an engaging contest. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KCB and 3K expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
KCB and 3K attack and defence ratings
KCB
3K
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
KCB vs 3K markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCB | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCB | 40.8% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| 3K | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | KCB win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |