3K
vs
GOR Mahia
Garuda Lions Prediction: 3K
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
3K vs GOR Mahia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 3K vs GOR Mahia
| Probability | 3K | Draw | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 31.7% | 24.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.8% | 31.7% | 24.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why 3K
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.87.
3K vs GOR Mahia match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match between 3K and GOR Mahia, our model assigns a 44% probability of victory for 3K, while GOR Mahia has a 25% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of 3K, occurring with a 14% likelihood.
3K is expected to score 1.25 goals, compared to GOR Mahia's 0.87. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36%, and there's a 43% chance that both teams will score. GOR Mahia's recent form shows three consecutive losses, followed by a draw and a win, indicating potential struggles heading into this match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
3K and GOR Mahia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
3K and GOR Mahia attack and defence ratings
3K
GOR Mahia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
3K vs GOR Mahia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 3K | 43.8% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| GOR Mahia | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.8% |
| No | 57.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | 3K win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |