Homeboyz
vs
KCB
Garuda Lions Prediction: Homeboyz
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Homeboyz vs KCB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Homeboyz vs KCB
| Probability | Homeboyz | Draw | KCB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Homeboyz vs KCB match preview
Homeboyz and KCB are set to clash in the Kenyan Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Homeboyz has a 37% chance of winning, while KCB's chances stand at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Homeboyz, with a 9% probability. The expected goals are 1.04 for Homeboyz and 1.28 for KCB, suggesting a closely contested match.
In terms of recent form, Homeboyz has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while KCB is in better shape with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last nine encounters shows Homeboyz with two wins, KCB with three, and four matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Homeboyz and KCB expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Homeboyz and KCB attack and defence ratings
Homeboyz
KCB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Homeboyz vs KCB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Homeboyz | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Homeboyz | 36.8% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| KCB | 34.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Homeboyz win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 71.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Homeboyz vs KCB stats
Homeboyz vs KCB head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | KCB | Homeboyz | Kenyan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Homeboyz | KCB | Kenyan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Homeboyz | KCB | FKF Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | KCB | Homeboyz | FKF Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | KCB | Homeboyz | Shield Cup | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-11 | KCB | Homeboyz | FKF Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Homeboyz | KCB | FKF Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-29 | Homeboyz | KCB | FKF Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-27 | KCB | Homeboyz | FKF Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.