Police
vs
Posta Rangers FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Police
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Police vs Posta Rangers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Police vs Posta Rangers FC
| Probability | Police | Draw | Posta Rangers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 34.3% | 20.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 34.3% | 20.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Police
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.67.
Police vs Posta Rangers FC match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Police faces Posta Rangers FC with a probability of 45% for Police to win, 34% for a draw, and 21% for Posta Rangers FC to secure a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Police, with an expected goals tally of 1.12 for Police and 0.67 for Posta Rangers FC.
Recent form shows Police has drawn four of their last six matches, with one win and one draw, while Posta Rangers FC has recorded one loss, two wins, and three draws in their last six games. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Police has not won, with one draw and one win for Posta Rangers FC. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Police and Posta Rangers FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Police and Posta Rangers FC attack and defence ratings
Police
Posta Rangers FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Police vs Posta Rangers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Police | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Police | 44.9% |
| Draw | 34.3% | |
| Posta Rangers FC | 20.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.2% |
| No | 65.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Police win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.9% |
| 1-0 | 17.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Police vs Posta Rangers FC stats
Police and Posta Rangers FC recent form
| Police |
DDDDWD |
| Posta Rangers FC |
LWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Police vs Posta Rangers FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Posta Rangers FC | Police | Kenyan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Police | Posta Rangers FC | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.