Police
vs
APS Bomet
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 28% model probability
Police vs APS Bomet overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Police vs APS Bomet
| Probability | Police | Draw | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 42.0% | 32.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.9% | 42.0% | 32.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Police vs APS Bomet match preview
In the upcoming Kenyan Premier League match, Police will face APS Bomet, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Police has a 26% chance of winning, while APS Bomet holds a 32% probability. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, occurring with a 28% likelihood. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently, with expected goals of 0.61 for Police and 0.71 for APS Bomet.
Recent form shows Police has drawn four consecutive matches, while APS Bomet has recorded two wins in their last three outings. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Police has secured one victory and one draw against APS Bomet, who has yet to win. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Police and APS Bomet expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.31
Police and APS Bomet attack and defence ratings
Police
APS Bomet
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Police vs APS Bomet markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Police | 25.9% |
| Draw | 42.0% | |
| APS Bomet | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 14.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 85.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.2% |
| No | 75.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | APS Bomet win | 9.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 28.1% |
| 0-1 | 17.9% | |
| 1-0 | 15.2% |
Police vs APS Bomet stats
Police vs APS Bomet head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Police | APS Bomet | Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | APS Bomet | Police | Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.