Posta Rangers FC
vs
GOR Mahia
Garuda Lions Prediction: GOR Mahia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia
| Probability | Posta Rangers FC | Draw | GOR Mahia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 31.1% | 36.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.6% | 31.1% | 36.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia match preview
Posta Rangers FC faces GOR Mahia in the Kenyan Premier League with a predicted probability of 33% for a Posta Rangers win, 31% for a draw, and 36% for a GOR Mahia victory. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 0-1, with an 11% chance. The expected goals are 1.11 for Posta Rangers FC and 1.18 for GOR Mahia, indicating a closely contested match.
In terms of recent form, Posta Rangers FC has recorded two losses, one win, two draws, while GOR Mahia has won two, lost three, and drawn one of their last six matches. The teams have faced each other twice recently, with Posta Rangers FC not securing a win, having one draw and one loss against GOR Mahia. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 40%, and both teams scoring stands at 48%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Posta Rangers FC and GOR Mahia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Posta Rangers FC and GOR Mahia attack and defence ratings
Posta Rangers FC
GOR Mahia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GOR Mahia | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Posta Rangers FC | 32.6% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| GOR Mahia | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | GOR Mahia win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia stats
Posta Rangers FC and GOR Mahia recent form
| Posta Rangers FC |
LLWDWD |
| GOR Mahia |
WWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Posta Rangers FC | GOR Mahia | Kenyan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | GOR Mahia | Posta Rangers FC | Kenyan Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.