Celta Vigo
vs
Real Betis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Betis
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Real Betis is the favourite, not a value bet.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 28.3% | 31.5% |
| Market | 30.5% | 27.3% | 42.2% |
| Final | 32.9% | 27.6% | 39.5% |
| Edge | +2.4% | +0.2% | -2.7% |
Why Real Betis
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +16.5% per unit staked (our 39.5% × 2.95 − 1).
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis match preview
Celta Vigo is set to face Real Betis in a closely contested La Liga match, with probabilities indicating a competitive balance: Celta Vigo at 36%, a draw at 27%, and Real Betis slightly ahead at 37%. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 1-2, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are nearly equal, with Celta Vigo at 1.57 and Real Betis at 1.58.
In terms of recent form, Celta Vigo has recorded a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Real Betis has shown stronger form, winning four of their last six encounters, including three consecutive victories. Historical head-to-head results favor Celta Vigo slightly, with two wins and three draws against Real Betis's single victory in their last six meetings.
Celta Vigo and Real Betis team news
Celta Vigo news
- A. Nunez — groin injury
- B. Iglesias — calf injury
- C. Starfelt — muscle injury
- J. El Abdellaoui — knee injury
- M. Roman — knee injury
Real Betis news
- C. Hernandez — calf injury
- F. Bernal — suspended
- I. Losada — inactive
- J. Firpo — groin injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Celta Vigo and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 39.5% | 2.53 | -2.7% | 2.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 32.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Real Betis | 39.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis stats
Celta Vigo and Real Betis recent form
| Celta Vigo |
WWLDWL |
| Real Betis |
WLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo and Real Betis season so far
Celta Vigo record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Betis record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Real Betis | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Celta Vigo | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Celta Vigo | Real Betis | La Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-10 | Real Betis | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-12 | Real Betis | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-01-03 | Celta Vigo | Real Betis | La Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 27.2%, away 42.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.21 | 3.49 | 2.39 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.34 |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 3.45 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.63 | 2.27 |
| SBO | 2.77 | 3.14 | 2.22 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| coolbet | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .