Celtic
vs
Celta Vigo
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Camilo Duran | ||
| 47′ | Mika Baur | ||
| 58′ | Callum OsmandJames Forrest | ||
| 63′ | Hugo BurcioIlaix Moriba | ||
| 63′ | Iago AspasWilliot Swedberg | ||
| 67′ | M. O'Neill | ||
| 68′ | Javier Rodríguez Galiano | ||
| 71′ | Javier Rodríguez Galiano | ||
| 73′ | Haissem HassanKasper Hogh | ||
| 77′ | Ferran JutglàPablo Durán Fernández | ||
| 79′ | Mika BaurOliver Sorensen | ||
| 80′ | Camilo DuranSebastian Tounekti | ||
| 85′ | Liam Scales | ||
| 85′ | Hugo Alvarez AntunezJavi Galán | ||
| 85′ | Javier Rueda GarcíaAndrés Antañón Vieites | ||
| 89′ | Oliver Sorensen | ||
| 90′ | Colby Donovan |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 436 | Accurate passes | 579 |
Celtic vs Celta Vigo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Celta Vigo
| Probability | Celtic | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.5% | 18.8% | 11.7% |
| Market | 35.2% | 27.2% | 37.6% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.1% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +8.6% | -2.1% | -6.5% |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Celtic below our published probability: +8.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celtic and Celta Vigo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Celtic and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction
Celtic 1 – 2 Celta Vigo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
Before and after this match
Celtic vs Celta Vigo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 43.8% | 2.28 | +8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Celta Vigo | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 47.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 8.8% |
Celtic vs Celta Vigo stats
Celtic and Celta Vigo recent form
| Celtic |
WLWLLW |
| Celta Vigo |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celtic vs Celta Vigo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 27.2%, away 37.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.60 | 2.57 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.60 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.54 | 2.59 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.02 | 2.42 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .