Celtic
vs
Celta Vigo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Celtic
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
Celtic vs Celta Vigo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Celta Vigo
| Probability | Celtic | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 62.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo match preview
Celtic is set to face Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 22, 2026. According to our model, Celtic holds a 63% probability of winning, while Celta Vigo's chances stand at 15%, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Celtic, occurring at an 11% probability. The expected goals for Celtic are 2.07, compared to Celta Vigo's 0.92.
In terms of recent form, Celtic has recorded two losses followed by three consecutive wins, while Celta Vigo's form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. There is a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score at a 54% likelihood, indicating a potentially competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celtic and Celta Vigo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Celtic and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celtic vs Celta Vigo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 62.9% | 1.59 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.18 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 39.8% | 2.51 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 62.9% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Celta Vigo | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 39.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.8% |
| 1-1 | 10.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Celtic vs Celta Vigo stats
Celtic and Celta Vigo recent form
| Celtic |
LLWWWW |
| Celta Vigo |
WLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.