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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 2

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna

1 – 1 Full time

Estadio La Rosaleda, MalagaReferee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain

Malaga 40%
Draw 32%
Deportivo La Coruna 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMalagaDrawDeportivo La Coruna
Model41.8%32.3%26.0%
Market39.1%31.9%29.0%
Final39.8%32.0%28.2%
Edge+2.7%+0.3%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Malaga

  • The market prices Malaga below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Malaga ↓ / Deportivo La C → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 10% 15% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 12%

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals

Malaga 1.31
Deportivo La Coruna 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.35

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings

Malaga

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna: result vs prediction

Malaga 1 – 1 Deportivo La Coruna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malaga 39.8% 2.52 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Malaga39.8%
Draw32.0%
Deportivo La Coruna28.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.8%
No49.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.8%
12 (either side)68.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.2%
Handicap -1Malaga win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-115.4%
0-011.5%
1-09.7%

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna stats

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna recent form

newest first
Malaga LWDDWW
Deportivo La Coruna DLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Malaga wins 5Draws 2Deportivo La Coruna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Deportivo La CorunaMalagaSegunda División1-1
2025-10-12MalagaDeportivo La CorunaSegunda División3-0
2025-01-11MalagaDeportivo La CorunaSegunda División1-1
2024-10-06Deportivo La CorunaMalagaSegunda División0-0
2020-07-08MalagaDeportivo La CorunaSegunda División1-0
2019-10-20Deportivo La CorunaMalagaSegunda División0-2
2019-06-15MalagaDeportivo La CorunaSegunda División0-1
2019-06-12Deportivo La CorunaMalagaSegunda División4-2
2019-02-24MalagaDeportivo La CorunaSegunda División0-0
2018-10-07Deportivo La CorunaMalagaSegunda División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 31.6%, away 29.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.60 3.05 2.78
1xBet 2.51 3.10 3.40
888Sport 2.50 2.90 3.10
Bet365 2.35 3.00 3.40
BetVictor 2.38 3.10 3.20
Betano 2.45 2.90 3.40
Betfair 2.38 3.00 3.40
Dafabet 2.60 3.05 3.05
Marathonbet 2.47 3.05 3.34
Pinnacle 2.42 3.02 3.53
SBO 2.38 2.86 3.02
Superbet 2.45 3.00 3.30
Unibet 2.45 2.95 3.20
William Hill 2.50 2.90 3.10
betclic_fr 2.52 3.02 3.02

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.10
X 3.00 ▼ -0.05
2 3.30 ▲ +0.30

10 snapshots recorded, from .