De Treffers
vs
Heracles
1 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | Mario Borac | ||
| 35′ | Migiel Zeller | ||
| 46′ | Thomas BrunsDaniel Van Kaam | ||
| 50′ | Tristan van Gilst | ||
| 52′ | Ruben van Strien | ||
| 55′ | Mario Borac | ||
| 55′ | Mario Borac | ||
| 60′ | David TomićFodé Fofana | ||
| 60′ | Tristan van GilstMimeirhel Benita | ||
| 60′ | Jeff Reine-AdélaïdeDamon Mirani | ||
| 61′ | Sebastiaan van Bakel | ||
| 64′ | Steven van der Heijden | ||
| 68′ | Kane Keizer | ||
| 74′ | Kane KeizerRicardo Ippel | ||
| 75′ | Stijn Bultman | ||
| 76′ | David VicenteChafik Abbas | ||
| 76′ | Vincent PopplerJean-Paul N'Djoli | ||
| 83′ | Willem den DekkerKürşad Sürmeli | ||
| 84′ | Bas BrussaardJim van der Logt | ||
| 89′ | Sebastiaan van BakelGavin Vlijter | ||
| 90′ | Tim WaterinkJorn Hekkert |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 9 |
| 157 | Accurate passes | 338 |
De Treffers vs Heracles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: De Treffers vs Heracles
| Probability | De Treffers | Draw | Heracles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 21.8% | 54.0% |
| Market | 15.9% | 20.0% | 64.0% |
| Final | 18.0% | 20.5% | 61.5% |
| Edge | +2.1% | +0.4% | -2.5% |
Why Heracles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
De Treffers and Heracles expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
De Treffers and Heracles attack and defence ratings
De Treffers
Heracles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
De Treffers vs Heracles: result vs prediction
De Treffers 1 – 0 Heracles
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
De Treffers vs Heracles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heracles | 61.5% | 1.63 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Treffers | 18.0% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Heracles | 61.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heracles win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-3 | 6.7% |
De Treffers vs Heracles stats
De Treffers and Heracles recent form
| De Treffers |
LWWW |
| Heracles |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
De Treffers vs Heracles head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-30 | Heracles | De Treffers | Friendlies Clubs | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
De Treffers vs Heracles odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.9%, draw 20.0%, away 64.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.81 | 4.70 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 5.00 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle | 5.13 | 4.45 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .