Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Celoricense
vs
Pevidem
1 – 0 Full time
Celoricense
34%
Draw
28%
Pevidem
37%
Celoricense vs Pevidem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celoricense vs Pevidem
| Probability | Celoricense | Draw | Pevidem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 28.3% | 37.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.4% | 28.3% | 37.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Celoricense and Pevidem expected goals
Celoricense
1.33
Pevidem
1.39
Total expected goals: 2.72
Celoricense and Pevidem attack and defence ratings
Celoricense
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Pevidem
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celoricense vs Pevidem: result vs prediction
Celoricense 1 – 0 Pevidem
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Celoricense vs Pevidem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pevidem | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celoricense | 34.4% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Pevidem | 37.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pevidem win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Celoricense vs Pevidem stats
Celoricense and Pevidem recent form
| Celoricense |
LWW |
| Pevidem |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.