Taça de Portugal · Full time ·1/128-finals

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo

3 – 0 Full time

CF Benfica 55%
Draw 24%
Viana Alentejo 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCF BenficaDrawViana Alentejo
Model54.6%23.9%21.5%
Market———
Final54.6%23.9%21.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why CF Benfica

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CF Benfica ↓ / Viana Alentejo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

CF Benfica and Viana Alentejo expected goals

CF Benfica 1.97
Viana Alentejo 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.15

CF Benfica and Viana Alentejo attack and defence ratings

CF Benfica

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Viana Alentejo

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo: result vs prediction

CF Benfica 3 – 0 Viana Alentejo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CF Benfica 54.6% 1.83 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CF Benfica54.6%
Draw23.9%
Viana Alentejo21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1CF Benfica win32.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.8%
2-08.4%

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo stats

CF Benfica and Viana Alentejo recent form

newest first
CF Benfica no matches on record
Viana Alentejo L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CF Benfica vs Viana Alentejo odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.