Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Correlhã
vs
Os Limianos
1 – 4 Full time
Correlhã
58%
Draw
23%
Os Limianos
20%
Correlhã vs Os Limianos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Correlhã vs Os Limianos
| Probability | Correlhã | Draw | Os Limianos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 22.5% | 19.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.8% | 22.5% | 19.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Correlhã
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Correlhã and Os Limianos expected goals
Correlhã
2.11
Os Limianos
1.19
Total expected goals: 3.30
Correlhã and Os Limianos attack and defence ratings
Correlhã
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Os Limianos
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Correlhã vs Os Limianos: result vs prediction
Correlhã 1 – 4 Os Limianos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Correlhã vs Os Limianos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correlhã | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correlhã | 57.8% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Os Limianos | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Correlhã win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Correlhã vs Os Limianos stats
Correlhã and Os Limianos recent form
| Correlhã |
LW |
| Os Limianos |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.