Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Os Limianos
vs
Aljustrelense
3 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | Os Limianos | ||
| 18′ | Os Limianos | ||
| 77′ | Os Limianos |
Os Limianos
30%
Draw
24%
Aljustrelense
46%
Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense
| Probability | Os Limianos | Draw | Aljustrelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 23.7% | 46.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.0% | 23.7% | 46.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aljustrelense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.55.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Os Limianos and Aljustrelense expected goals
Os Limianos
1.55
Aljustrelense
1.96
Total expected goals: 3.51
Os Limianos and Aljustrelense attack and defence ratings
Os Limianos
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Aljustrelense
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense: result vs prediction
Os Limianos 3 – 0 Aljustrelense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aljustrelense | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Os Limianos | 30.0% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Aljustrelense | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aljustrelense win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense stats
Os Limianos and Aljustrelense recent form
| Os Limianos |
WL |
| Aljustrelense |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Os Limianos vs Aljustrelense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Os Limianos wins
0Draws
1Aljustrelense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-11 | Os Limianos | Aljustrelense | Taça de Portugal | 2-1 |
| 2016-10-16 | Aljustrelense | Os Limianos | Taça de Portugal | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.