Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Fazendense
vs
Mocarriense
1 – 0 Full time
Fazendense
40%
Draw
26%
Mocarriense
34%
Fazendense vs Mocarriense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fazendense vs Mocarriense
| Probability | Fazendense | Draw | Mocarriense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 26.1% | 34.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.5% | 26.1% | 34.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Fazendense and Mocarriense expected goals
Fazendense
1.61
Mocarriense
1.49
Total expected goals: 3.09
Fazendense and Mocarriense attack and defence ratings
Fazendense
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Mocarriense
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fazendense vs Mocarriense: result vs prediction
Fazendense 1 – 0 Mocarriense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Fazendense vs Mocarriense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fazendense | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fazendense | 39.5% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Mocarriense | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fazendense win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Fazendense vs Mocarriense stats
Fazendense and Mocarriense recent form
| Fazendense |
L |
| Mocarriense |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.