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Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 128

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense

6 – 1 Full time

18′Fazendense
20′Ginásio Figueirense
23′Fazendense
57′Fazendense
64′Fazendense
70′Fazendense
75′Ginásio Figueirense
81′Ginásio Figueirense
83′Fazendense
87′Fazendense
Fazendense 41%
Draw 27%
Ginásio Figueirense 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFazendenseDrawGinásio Figueirense
Model41.2%27.3%31.5%
Market———
Final41.2%27.3%31.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fazendense ↓ / Ginásio Figuei → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Fazendense and Ginásio Figueirense expected goals

Fazendense 1.52
Ginásio Figueirense 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.84

Fazendense and Ginásio Figueirense attack and defence ratings

Fazendense

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Ginásio Figueirense

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense: result vs prediction

Fazendense 6 – 1 Ginásio Figueirense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fazendense 41.2% 2.43 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fazendense41.2%
Draw27.3%
Ginásio Figueirense31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1Fazendense win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-18.9%
1-07.8%

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense stats

Fazendense and Ginásio Figueirense recent form

newest first
Fazendense WL
Ginásio Figueirense no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Fazendense vs Ginásio Figueirense odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.