Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Maia Lidador
vs
Vila Meã
0 – 0 Full time
Maia Lidador
28%
Draw
28%
Vila Meã
44%
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã
| Probability | Maia Lidador | Draw | Vila Meã |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 27.7% | 44.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.3% | 27.7% | 44.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vila Meã
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.19.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
8%
Maia Lidador and Vila Meã expected goals
Maia Lidador
1.19
Vila Meã
1.54
Total expected goals: 2.74
Maia Lidador and Vila Meã attack and defence ratings
Maia Lidador
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Vila Meã
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã: result vs prediction
Maia Lidador 0 – 0 Vila Meã
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vila Meã | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maia Lidador | 28.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Vila Meã | 44.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vila Meã win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.9% |
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã stats
Maia Lidador and Vila Meã recent form
| Maia Lidador |
no matches on record |
| Vila Meã |
LWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.