Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Rebordelo
vs
Bragança
0 – 4 Full time
Rebordelo
26%
Draw
24%
Bragança
50%
Rebordelo vs Bragança overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rebordelo vs Bragança
| Probability | Rebordelo | Draw | Bragança |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 24.2% | 49.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.2% | 24.2% | 49.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bragança
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Rebordelo and Bragança expected goals
Rebordelo
1.36
Bragança
1.92
Total expected goals: 3.28
Rebordelo and Bragança attack and defence ratings
Rebordelo
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Bragança
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rebordelo vs Bragança: result vs prediction
Rebordelo 0 – 4 Bragança
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Rebordelo vs Bragança markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bragança | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rebordelo | 26.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Bragança | 49.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bragança win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |