Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Rebordosa
vs
Alpendorada
2 – 2 Full time
Rebordosa
37%
Draw
26%
Alpendorada
37%
Rebordosa vs Alpendorada overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rebordosa vs Alpendorada
| Probability | Rebordosa | Draw | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 25.8% | 36.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.3% | 25.8% | 36.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Rebordosa and Alpendorada expected goals
Rebordosa
1.58
Alpendorada
1.57
Total expected goals: 3.15
Rebordosa and Alpendorada attack and defence ratings
Rebordosa
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Alpendorada
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rebordosa vs Alpendorada: result vs prediction
Rebordosa 2 – 2 Alpendorada
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Rebordosa vs Alpendorada markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rebordosa | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rebordosa | 37.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Alpendorada | 36.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rebordosa win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.4% |
Rebordosa vs Alpendorada stats
Rebordosa and Alpendorada recent form
| Rebordosa |
LW |
| Alpendorada |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.