Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Régua
vs
AD Marco 09
0 – 1 Full time
Régua
46%
Draw
28%
AD Marco 09
26%
Régua vs AD Marco 09 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Régua vs AD Marco 09
| Probability | Régua | Draw | AD Marco 09 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 28.1% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.6% | 28.1% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Régua
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Régua and AD Marco 09 expected goals
Régua
1.52
AD Marco 09
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.62
Régua and AD Marco 09 attack and defence ratings
Régua
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
AD Marco 09
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Régua vs AD Marco 09: result vs prediction
Régua 0 – 1 AD Marco 09
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Régua vs AD Marco 09 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Régua | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Régua | 45.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| AD Marco 09 | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Régua win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Régua vs AD Marco 09 stats
Régua and AD Marco 09 recent form
| Régua |
no matches on record |
| AD Marco 09 |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.