Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Sanjoanense
vs
Pacos de Brandao
3 – 0 Full time
Sanjoanense
30%
Draw
25%
Pacos de Brandao
45%
Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao
| Probability | Sanjoanense | Draw | Pacos de Brandao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 25.1% | 45.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.6% | 25.1% | 45.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pacos de Brandao
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.42.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Sanjoanense and Pacos de Brandao expected goals
Sanjoanense
1.42
Pacos de Brandao
1.79
Total expected goals: 3.21
Sanjoanense and Pacos de Brandao attack and defence ratings
Sanjoanense
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Pacos de Brandao
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao: result vs prediction
Sanjoanense 3 – 0 Pacos de Brandao
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacos de Brandao | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanjoanense | 29.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Pacos de Brandao | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pacos de Brandao win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao stats
Sanjoanense and Pacos de Brandao recent form
| Sanjoanense |
L |
| Pacos de Brandao |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.