Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 128

Ançã vs Sanjoanense

1 – 4 Full time

23′Sanjoanense
35′Sanjoanense
59′Ançã
88′Sanjoanense
90′Sanjoanense
Ançã 41%
Draw 25%
Sanjoanense 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Ançã vs Sanjoanense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ançã vs Sanjoanense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnçãDrawSanjoanense
Model40.6%24.8%34.6%
Market———
Final40.6%24.8%34.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ançã ↓ / Sanjoanense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Ançã and Sanjoanense expected goals

Ançã 1.73
Sanjoanense 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.34

Ançã and Sanjoanense attack and defence ratings

Ançã

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Sanjoanense

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ançã vs Sanjoanense: result vs prediction

Ançã 1 – 4 Sanjoanense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Ançã vs Sanjoanense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ançã 40.6% 2.46 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ançã40.6%
Draw24.8%
Sanjoanense34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1Ançã win21.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-18.6%
1-27.9%

Ançã vs Sanjoanense stats

Ançã and Sanjoanense recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Ançã vs Sanjoanense head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Ançã wins 0Draws 0Sanjoanense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-09-11AnçãSanjoanenseTaça de Portugal1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ançã vs Sanjoanense odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.