Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
SC Covilha
vs
Mortágua
0 – 0 Full time
SC Covilha
42%
Draw
29%
Mortágua
29%
SC Covilha vs Mortágua overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Covilha vs Mortágua
| Probability | SC Covilha | Draw | Mortágua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 29.5% | 29.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.6% | 29.5% | 29.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
SC Covilha and Mortágua expected goals
SC Covilha
1.37
Mortágua
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.48
SC Covilha and Mortágua attack and defence ratings
SC Covilha
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Mortágua
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SC Covilha vs Mortágua: result vs prediction
SC Covilha 0 – 0 Mortágua
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
SC Covilha vs Mortágua markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Covilha | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Covilha | 41.6% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Mortágua | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Covilha win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
SC Covilha vs Mortágua stats
SC Covilha and Mortágua recent form
| SC Covilha |
LWD |
| Mortágua |
LWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.