Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
UD da Serra
vs
Uniao de Pombal
5 – 0 Full time
UD da Serra
35%
Draw
27%
Uniao de Pombal
38%
UD da Serra vs Uniao de Pombal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UD da Serra vs Uniao de Pombal
| Probability | UD da Serra | Draw | Uniao de Pombal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 27.2% | 37.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.0% | 27.2% | 37.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
UD da Serra and Uniao de Pombal expected goals
UD da Serra
1.42
Uniao de Pombal
1.49
Total expected goals: 2.91
UD da Serra and Uniao de Pombal attack and defence ratings
UD da Serra
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Uniao de Pombal
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
UD da Serra vs Uniao de Pombal: result vs prediction
UD da Serra 5 – 0 Uniao de Pombal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
UD da Serra vs Uniao de Pombal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Uniao de Pombal | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UD da Serra | 35.0% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Uniao de Pombal | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Uniao de Pombal win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
UD da Serra vs Uniao de Pombal stats
UD da Serra and Uniao de Pombal recent form
| UD da Serra |
L |
| Uniao de Pombal |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.