Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
União Montemor
vs
Juventude Évora
1 – 4 Full time
União Montemor
46%
Draw
27%
Juventude Évora
27%
União Montemor vs Juventude Évora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: União Montemor vs Juventude Évora
| Probability | União Montemor | Draw | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.9% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why União Montemor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.19.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
União Montemor and Juventude Évora expected goals
União Montemor
1.61
Juventude Évora
1.19
Total expected goals: 2.79
União Montemor and Juventude Évora attack and defence ratings
União Montemor
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Juventude Évora
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
União Montemor vs Juventude Évora: result vs prediction
União Montemor 1 – 4 Juventude Évora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
União Montemor vs Juventude Évora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União Montemor | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União Montemor | 45.9% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Juventude Évora | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | União Montemor win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
União Montemor vs Juventude Évora stats
União Montemor and Juventude Évora recent form
| União Montemor |
no matches on record |
| Juventude Évora |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.