Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Oliveira Hospital
vs
Juventude Évora
3 – 2 Full time
| 65′ | Juventude Évora | ||
| 86′ | Oliveira Hospital | ||
| 104′ | Oliveira Hospital | ||
| 106′ | Juventude Évora | ||
| 120′ | Oliveira Hospital |
Oliveira Hospital
35%
Draw
26%
Juventude Évora
39%
Oliveira Hospital vs Juventude Évora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oliveira Hospital vs Juventude Évora
| Probability | Oliveira Hospital | Draw | Juventude Évora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.3% | 26.2% | 38.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.3% | 26.2% | 38.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Oliveira Hospital and Juventude Évora expected goals
Oliveira Hospital
1.48
Juventude Évora
1.58
Total expected goals: 3.06
Oliveira Hospital and Juventude Évora attack and defence ratings
Oliveira Hospital
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Juventude Évora
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oliveira Hospital vs Juventude Évora: result vs prediction
Oliveira Hospital 3 – 2 Juventude Évora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oliveira Hospital vs Juventude Évora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude Évora | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oliveira Hospital | 35.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Juventude Évora | 38.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude Évora win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Oliveira Hospital vs Juventude Évora stats
Oliveira Hospital and Juventude Évora recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.