Olhanense
vs
Oliveira Hospital
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olhanense
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital
| Probability | Olhanense | Draw | Oliveira Hospital |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 26.3% | 31.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.3% | 26.3% | 31.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital match preview
Olhanense faces Oliveira Hospital in the Taça de Portugal on October 18, 2026. The model indicates a 42% probability of an Olhanense victory, while Oliveira Hospital stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Olhanense, with a 9% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is at 58%, and both teams are likely to score, with a 61% probability.
In terms of recent form, Olhanense comes off a win, while Oliveira Hospital has recorded two wins and one loss in their last three matches. The expected goals for Olhanense are 1.62, compared to 1.37 for Oliveira Hospital. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital attack and defence ratings
Olhanense
Oliveira Hospital
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olhanense | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olhanense | 42.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Oliveira Hospital | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olhanense win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital stats
Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital recent form
| W | |
| WWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.