Taça de Portugal · ·Round of 64

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital

Garuda Lions Prediction: Olhanense

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Olhanense 42%
Draw 26%
Oliveira Hospital 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Olhanense wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlhanenseDrawOliveira Hospital
Model42.3%26.3%31.4%
Market———
Final42.3%26.3%31.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital match preview

Olhanense faces Oliveira Hospital in the Taça de Portugal on October 18, 2026. The model indicates a 42% probability of an Olhanense victory, while Oliveira Hospital stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Olhanense, with a 9% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is at 58%, and both teams are likely to score, with a 61% probability.

In terms of recent form, Olhanense comes off a win, while Oliveira Hospital has recorded two wins and one loss in their last three matches. The expected goals for Olhanense are 1.62, compared to 1.37 for Oliveira Hospital. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olhanense ↓ / Oliveira Hospi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital expected goals

Olhanense 1.62
Oliveira Hospital 1.37

Total expected goals: 3.00

Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital attack and defence ratings

Olhanense

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Oliveira Hospital

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olhanense 42.3% 2.36 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olhanense42.3%
Draw26.3%
Oliveira Hospital31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Olhanense win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital stats

Olhanense and Oliveira Hospital recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Olhanense Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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