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Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 128

Olhanense vs Portel

1 – 0 Full time

67′Portel
117′Olhanense
Olhanense 29%
Draw 22%
Portel 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Olhanense vs Portel overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olhanense vs Portel

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlhanenseDrawPortel
Model28.7%22.1%49.1%
Market———
Final28.7%22.1%49.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Portel

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.65.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olhanense ↓ / Portel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Olhanense and Portel expected goals

Olhanense 1.65
Portel 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.84

Olhanense and Portel attack and defence ratings

Olhanense

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Portel

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olhanense vs Portel: result vs prediction

Olhanense 1 – 0 Portel

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Olhanense vs Portel markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portel 49.1% 2.04 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.6% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.5% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olhanense28.7%
Draw22.1%
Portel49.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%
Both teams to scoreYes72.5%
No27.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.9%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.3%
Handicap -1Portel win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
1-28.5%
2-27.0%

Olhanense vs Portel stats

Olhanense and Portel recent form

newest first
Olhanense no matches on record
Portel WL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Olhanense vs Portel head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Olhanense vs Portel odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.