Taça de Portugal · Full time ·1/128-finals

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo

8 – 0 Full time

Vianense 46%
Draw 24%
Minas de Argozelo 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVianenseDrawMinas de Argozelo
Model45.8%23.6%30.6%
Market———
Final45.8%23.6%30.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Vianense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.59.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vianense ↓ / Minas de Argoz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Vianense and Minas de Argozelo expected goals

Vianense 1.96
Minas de Argozelo 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.56

Vianense and Minas de Argozelo attack and defence ratings

Vianense

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Minas de Argozelo

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo: result vs prediction

Vianense 8 – 0 Minas de Argozelo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vianense 45.8% 2.18 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vianense45.8%
Draw23.6%
Minas de Argozelo30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1Vianense win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss54.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-18.8%
1-27.1%

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo stats

Vianense and Minas de Argozelo recent form

newest first
Vianense LWW
Minas de Argozelo no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.