Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Vianense
vs
Minas de Argozelo
8 – 0 Full time
Vianense
46%
Draw
24%
Minas de Argozelo
31%
Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo
| Probability | Vianense | Draw | Minas de Argozelo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 23.6% | 30.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.8% | 23.6% | 30.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vianense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Vianense and Minas de Argozelo expected goals
Vianense
1.96
Minas de Argozelo
1.59
Total expected goals: 3.56
Vianense and Minas de Argozelo attack and defence ratings
Vianense
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Minas de Argozelo
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo: result vs prediction
Vianense 8 – 0 Minas de Argozelo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vianense | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vianense | 45.8% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Minas de Argozelo | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vianense win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Vianense vs Minas de Argozelo stats
Vianense and Minas de Argozelo recent form
| LWW | |
| no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.