Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Vila Pouca
vs
Brito
0 – 5 Full time
| 5′ | Vila Pouca | ||
| 28′ | Brito | ||
| 45′ | Brito | ||
| 50′ | Brito | ||
| 55′ | Brito | ||
| 78′ | Brito |
Vila Pouca
56%
Draw
22%
Brito
22%
Vila Pouca vs Brito overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vila Pouca vs Brito
| Probability | Vila Pouca | Draw | Brito |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.1% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vila Pouca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.32.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Vila Pouca and Brito expected goals
Vila Pouca
2.16
Brito
1.32
Total expected goals: 3.48
Vila Pouca and Brito attack and defence ratings
Vila Pouca
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Brito
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.27 +27%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vila Pouca vs Brito: result vs prediction
Vila Pouca 0 – 5 Brito
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vila Pouca vs Brito markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vila Pouca | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vila Pouca | 56.1% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Brito | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% |
| No | 34.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vila Pouca win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Vila Pouca vs Brito stats
Vila Pouca and Brito recent form
| Vila Pouca |
no matches on record |
| Brito |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.