Brito
vs
Vitória de Sernache
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vitória de Sernache
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Brito vs Vitória de Sernache overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brito vs Vitória de Sernache
| Probability | Brito | Draw | Vitória de Sernache |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 24.0% | 38.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.3% | 24.0% | 38.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Brito vs Vitória de Sernache match preview
Brito faces Vitória de Sernache in the Taça de Portugal with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. The match probabilities suggest a closely contested encounter, with Brito at 37%, a draw at 24%, and Vitória de Sernache slightly favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability.
Both teams exhibit strong offensive capabilities, with expected goals of 1.75 for Brito and 1.78 for Vitória de Sernache. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 68%, while both teams scoring is estimated at 70%. Recent form shows Brito with a mixed record of W-L-W, while Vitória de Sernache has secured two wins followed by a loss.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brito and Vitória de Sernache expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Brito and Vitória de Sernache attack and defence ratings
Brito
Vitória de Sernache
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brito vs Vitória de Sernache markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitória de Sernache | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brito | 37.3% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Vitória de Sernache | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitória de Sernache win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Brito vs Vitória de Sernache stats
Brito and Vitória de Sernache recent form
| Brito |
WLW |
| Vitória de Sernache |
WWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.