FC Botosani
vs
Oţelul
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Botosani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.22.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Botosani is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Botosani vs Oţelul
| Probability | FC Botosani | Draw | Oţelul |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 24.7% | 23.9% |
| Market | 45.0% | 26.9% | 28.1% |
| Final | 46.6% | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
Why FC Botosani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.6% per unit staked (our 46.6% × 2.09 − 1).
FC Botosani vs Oţelul match preview
FC Botosani faces Oţelul in an upcoming Liga I match, with a probability of 46% for a home win, while Oţelul has a 27% chance of victory and a 26% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals for FC Botosani stand at 1.87, compared to Oţelul's 1.22, indicating a stronger offensive expectation for the home side.
In terms of recent form, FC Botosani has recorded three losses, one win, and a draw in their last five matches, while Oţelul has struggled with six consecutive games without a win, resulting in four losses and two draws. Our model suggests a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score in this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Botosani and Oţelul expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
FC Botosani and Oţelul attack and defence ratings
FC Botosani
Oţelul
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Botosani vs Oţelul markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 46.6% | 2.15 | +1.6% | 2.09 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 46.6% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Oţelul | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Botosani win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
FC Botosani vs Oţelul stats
FC Botosani and Oţelul recent form
| FC Botosani |
LLLWLD |
| Oţelul |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Botosani and Oţelul season so far
FC Botosani record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oţelul record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FC Botosani | Oţelul | Liga I | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-02 | FC Botosani | Oţelul | Liga I | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Oţelul | FC Botosani | Liga I | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 26.9%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.48 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.48 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.00 | 2.91 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .