Scotland FA Cup Β· Β·Round of 128

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dunipace

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dunipace 43%
Draw 24%
Largs Thistle 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Dunipace wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
68%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dunipace vs Largs Thistle

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDunipaceDrawLargs Thistle
Model42.7%24.2%33.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final42.7%24.2%33.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle match preview

Dunipace and Largs Thistle are set to face off in the Scotland FA Cup on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Dunipace holds a 43% probability of winning, while Largs Thistle has a 33% chance, and a draw is estimated at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Dunipace, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to an entertaining match, with over 2.5 goals projected at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.

In terms of expected goals, Dunipace is forecasted to achieve 1.84, while Largs Thistle is anticipated to net 1.61. Recent form shows Dunipace with a mixed record of one win and two losses, while Largs Thistle comes into the match with a recent victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dunipace ↓ / Largs Thistle β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Dunipace and Largs Thistle expected goals

Dunipace 1.84
Largs Thistle 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.44

Dunipace and Largs Thistle attack and defence ratings

Dunipace

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Largs Thistle

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dunipace 42.7% 2.34 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 68.1% 1.47 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 57.3% 1.74 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dunipace42.7%
Draw24.2%
Largs Thistle33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Both teams to scoreYes68.1%
No31.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Dunipace win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss57.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle stats

Dunipace and Largs Thistle recent form

newest first
Dunipace WLL
Largs Thistle W

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Dunipace vs Largs Thistle odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Dunipace Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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