Scotland FA Cup
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Dunipace
vs
Largs Thistle
1 – 5 Full time
| 25′ | N. Little | ||
| 31′ | N. Little | ||
| 57′ | L. Williamson | ||
| 64′ | N. Little | ||
| 89′ | W. Sewell | ||
| 90′ | W. Sewell |
Dunipace
35%
Draw
23%
Largs Thistle
42%
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dunipace vs Largs Thistle
| Probability | Dunipace | Draw | Largs Thistle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 24.2% | 33.1% |
| Market | 32.7% | 22.4% | 44.9% |
| Final | 35.2% | 22.9% | 41.9% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +0.4% | -2.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Dunipace and Largs Thistle expected goals
Dunipace
1.84
Largs Thistle
1.61
Total expected goals: 3.44
Dunipace and Largs Thistle attack and defence ratings
Dunipace
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Largs Thistle
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle: result vs prediction
Dunipace 1 – 5 Largs Thistle
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
- Stranraer vs Tayport — team news & stats
- Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors — match page
Before and after this match
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Largs Thistle | 41.9% | 2.38 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunipace | 35.2% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Largs Thistle | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.1% |
| No | 31.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Largs Thistle win | 16.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle stats
Dunipace and Largs Thistle recent form
| Dunipace |
WLL |
| Largs Thistle |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Dunipace vs Largs Thistle odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 22.4%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 4.00 | 2.00 |