East Kilbride
vs
Clyde
Garuda Lions Prediction: East Kilbride
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.36.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
East Kilbride vs Clyde overview
Garuda Lions analysis: East Kilbride vs Clyde
| Probability | East Kilbride | Draw | Clyde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.1% | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why East Kilbride
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
East Kilbride vs Clyde match preview
East Kilbride faces Clyde in the Scotland FA Cup with a projected probability of winning at 48%, while Clyde's chances sit at 27%. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 25%. The most probable scoreline from our model is 2-1 in favor of East Kilbride, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.86 for East Kilbride and 1.36 for Clyde. Recent form shows East Kilbride with two losses followed by two wins, while Clyde has recorded two draws and a loss. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
East Kilbride and Clyde expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
East Kilbride and Clyde attack and defence ratings
East Kilbride
Clyde
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
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- Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers — team news & stats
- Queen of the South vs Dunfermline
- Montrose v Hamilton Academical — match page
- Annan Athletic vs Morton — team news & stats
- Elgin City vs Partick
- Peterhead v Edinburgh City — match page
- Queen's Park vs Spartans — team news & stats
Before and after this match
East Kilbride vs Clyde markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | East Kilbride | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | East Kilbride | 48.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Clyde | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | East Kilbride win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
East Kilbride vs Clyde stats
East Kilbride and Clyde recent form
| East Kilbride |
LLWW |
| Clyde |
DLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.