Penicuik Athletic
vs
Clyde
Garuda Lions Prediction: Penicuik Athletic
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.56.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde
| Probability | Penicuik Athletic | Draw | Clyde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 23.2% | 29.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.7% | 23.2% | 29.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Penicuik Athletic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde match preview
Penicuik Athletic faces Clyde in the Scotland FA Cup with a predicted probability of 48% for a Penicuik victory, while Clyde has a 29% chance of winning and a 23% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Penicuik Athletic, which aligns with an expected goals tally of 2.03 for Penicuik and 1.56 for Clyde.
Both teams are anticipated to score, with a 70% probability, and there is also a 70% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows Penicuik Athletic with a win-loss-loss record, while Clyde has recorded a loss and a draw in their last two matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Penicuik Athletic and Clyde expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Penicuik Athletic and Clyde attack and defence ratings
Penicuik Athletic
Clyde
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
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- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
Before and after this match
Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Penicuik Athletic | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Penicuik Athletic | 47.7% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Clyde | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Penicuik Athletic win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde stats
Penicuik Athletic and Clyde recent form
| Penicuik Athletic |
WLL |
| Clyde |
LD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.