Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde

1 – 1 Full time

13′L. Quinn
42′J. Hilton
56′N. KempF. Patterson
56′L. QuinnR. Jack
65′D. Chisholm
65′D. Chisholm
66′D. ChisholmA. McColl
73′T. ScottB. Cuddihy
74′D. Healy
75′S. Coats
75′J. Bradley
90′O. WaltonM. MacKay
90′J. BradleyJ. Anderson
90′L. Rooney
95′J. HiltonD. Hynes
103′P. Thomson
105′C. Howie
111′L. Dunachie
119′J. Anderson
120′F. Patterson
120′F. Patterson
120′D. Hynes
120′M. McGinley
120′K. Fleming
120′B. Cuddihy
120′D. Healy
120′S. Williamson
Penicuik Athletic 21%
Draw 19%
Clyde 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPenicuik AthleticDrawClyde
Model46.9%23.2%29.8%
Market12.3%17.3%70.4%
Final20.9%18.8%60.3%
Edge+8.7%+1.5%-10.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Penicuik Athle ↓ / Clyde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Penicuik Athletic and Clyde expected goals

Penicuik Athletic 2.01
Clyde 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.60

Penicuik Athletic and Clyde attack and defence ratings

Penicuik Athletic

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Clyde

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde: result vs prediction

Penicuik Athletic 1 – 1 Clyde

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Clyde 60.3% 1.66 -10.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.7% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.8% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.2% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Penicuik Athletic20.9%
Draw18.8%
Clyde60.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.7%
Under 2.530.3%
Both teams to scoreYes69.8%
No30.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.7%
12 (either side)81.2%
X2 (draw or away)79.1%
Handicap -1Clyde win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)15.2%
Loss70.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-18.8%
2-27.0%

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde stats

Penicuik Athletic and Clyde recent form

newest first
Penicuik Athletic WLL
Clyde LD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Penicuik Athletic vs Clyde odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.3%, draw 17.3%, away 70.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.44 5.25 1.28
Bet365 6.50 5.00 1.30
BetVictor 7.50 5.25 1.30
Betano 6.30 4.90 1.34
Betfair 8.50 5.50 1.29
Dafabet 7.40 5.80 1.35
Marathonbet 7.10 5.25 1.27
Pinnacle 7.20 5.43 1.24
William Hill 9.50 5.50 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.40 ▼ -1.60
X 5.25 ▼ -0.70
2 1.29 ▲ +0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .