Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
vs
Musselburgh Athletic
1 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | A. Walsh | ||
| 7′ | L. Buchanan | ||
| 49′ | S. Featherstone | ||
| 80′ | J. Barker |
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic
| Probability | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | Draw | Musselburgh Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 23.9% | 31.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.6% | 23.9% | 31.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic attack and defence ratings
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
Musselburgh Athletic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic: result vs prediction
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn 1 – 3 Musselburgh Athletic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
- Stranraer vs Tayport — team news & stats
- Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors — match page
Before and after this match
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 44.6% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Musselburgh Athletic | 31.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic stats
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic recent form
| Hill Of Beath Hawthorn |
WLWLWW |
| Musselburgh Athletic |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | Musselburgh Athletic | Football League - Lowland League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.