Scotland FA Cup
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Johnstone Burgh
vs
Formartine United
1 – 0 Full time
| 83′ | Z. McKay |
Johnstone Burgh
50%
Draw
27%
Formartine United
23%
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United
| Probability | Johnstone Burgh | Draw | Formartine United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 26.5% | 23.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 26.5% | 23.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Johnstone Burgh
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.08.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
7%
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United expected goals
Johnstone Burgh
1.68
Formartine United
1.08
Total expected goals: 2.76
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United attack and defence ratings
Johnstone Burgh
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Formartine United
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United: result vs prediction
Johnstone Burgh 1 – 0 Formartine United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
- Stranraer vs Tayport — team news & stats
- Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors — match page
Before and after this match
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Johnstone Burgh | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Johnstone Burgh | 50.1% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Formartine United | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Johnstone Burgh win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United stats
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United recent form
| Johnstone Burgh |
WLW |
| Formartine United |
WLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.