Johnstone Burgh
vs
Formartine United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Johnstone Burgh
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.07.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United
| Probability | Johnstone Burgh | Draw | Formartine United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Johnstone Burgh
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.07.
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United match preview
Johnstone Burgh faces Formartine United in the Scotland FA Cup on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Johnstone Burgh holds a 51% probability of winning, while a draw is at 26% and Formartine United at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Johnstone Burgh, with a 10% chance of occurring. The expected goals are 1.69 for Johnstone Burgh and 1.07 for Formartine United, suggesting a competitive match.
Both teams have shown recent form with Johnstone Burgh recording a win, loss, and win in their last three matches, while Formartine United has two wins and two losses in their last five. Our model indicates a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United attack and defence ratings
Johnstone Burgh
Formartine United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Johnstone Burgh | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Johnstone Burgh | 50.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Formartine United | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Johnstone Burgh win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.6% |
Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United stats
Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United recent form
| Johnstone Burgh |
WLW |
| Formartine United |
WLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.