Garuda Lions
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Scotland FA Cup · Full time ·Round of 128

Threave Rovers vs Pollok

6 – 1 Full time

3′L. Downie
45′H. Officer
47′R. Irving
75′L. Downie
80′T. Goss
84′T. Goss
88′B. McHugh
Threave Rovers 56%
Draw 19%
Pollok 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Threave Rovers vs Pollok overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Threave Rovers vs Pollok

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityThreave RoversDrawPollok
Model56.5%19.3%24.2%
Market———
Final56.5%19.3%24.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Threave Rovers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.75.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Threave Rovers ↓ / Pollok → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 5% 2 4% 8% 7% 3 7% 6% 4+ 5% 8% 7% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Threave Rovers and Pollok expected goals

Threave Rovers 2.65
Pollok 1.75

Total expected goals: 4.40

Threave Rovers and Pollok attack and defence ratings

Threave Rovers

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Pollok

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok: result vs prediction

Threave Rovers 6 – 1 Pollok

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Scotland FA Cup

Before and after this match

Threave Rovers vs Pollok markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Threave Rovers 56.5% 1.77 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.4% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.3% 1.29 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.7% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.5% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Threave Rovers56.5%
Draw19.3%
Pollok24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.4%
Under 2.518.6%
Both teams to scoreYes77.3%
No22.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)43.5%
Handicap -1Threave Rovers win37.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss43.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.6%
3-16.7%
2-26.6%

Threave Rovers vs Pollok stats

Threave Rovers and Pollok recent form

newest first
Threave Rovers WLWLWW
Pollok WLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.