Threave Rovers
vs
Pollok
Garuda Lions Prediction: Threave Rovers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.73.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Threave Rovers vs Pollok overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Threave Rovers vs Pollok
| Probability | Threave Rovers | Draw | Pollok |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 19.1% | 23.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.4% | 19.1% | 23.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Threave Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Threave Rovers vs Pollok match preview
Threave Rovers are set to face Pollok in the Scotland FA Cup, with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Threave Rovers have a 57% probability of winning, while Pollok's chances stand at 23%, with a 19% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Threave Rovers is 2.67, compared to Pollok's 1.73. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Threave Rovers, occurring at an 8% probability.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, our model indicates an 82% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 77% probability that both teams will find the net. Threave Rovers are coming off a mixed run of form, with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Pollok has two wins and two losses in their recent outings. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Threave Rovers and Pollok expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.40
Threave Rovers and Pollok attack and defence ratings
Threave Rovers
Pollok
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
- Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts — match page
- Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic — team news & stats
- Dumbarton vs Keith
- Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic — match page
- Lochee United vs Spartans — team news & stats
- Brora Rangers v Cowdenbeath — match page
- Stranraer vs Tayport — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Threave Rovers vs Pollok markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Threave Rovers | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Threave Rovers | 57.4% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Pollok | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.2% |
| No | 22.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Threave Rovers win | 38.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | 6.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.5% |
Threave Rovers vs Pollok stats
Threave Rovers and Pollok recent form
| Threave Rovers |
WLWLWW |
| Pollok |
WLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.