Celtic
vs
Dundee Utd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Celtic
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.27.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Celtic is the favourite, not a value bet.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Dundee Utd
| Probability | Celtic | Draw | Dundee Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| Market | 74.4% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
| Final | 69.7% | 17.7% | 12.6% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +1.7% | +3.0% |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.27.
Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.7% per unit staked (our 69.7% × 1.28 − 1).
Celtic vs Dundee Utd match preview
Celtic enters the match against Dundee Utd with a probability of winning set at 70%, while Dundee Utd has a 12% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Celtic, with an expected goals tally of 2.14 for Celtic and 1.11 for Dundee Utd. Additionally, there is a 63% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 60% chance that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Celtic has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Dundee Utd has fared slightly better with four wins, a draw, and a loss. Historically, the last three encounters have seen Celtic win once, while Dundee Utd has claimed victory twice.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celtic and Dundee Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Celtic and Dundee Utd attack and defence ratings
Celtic
Dundee Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celtic vs Dundee Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 69.7% | 1.43 | -4.7% | 1.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 69.7% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Dundee Utd | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Celtic vs Dundee Utd stats
Celtic and Dundee Utd recent form
| Celtic |
LWLWLL |
| Dundee Utd |
WDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celtic and Dundee Utd season so far
Celtic record
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dundee Utd record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Dundee Utd | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Celtic | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Dundee Utd | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celtic vs Dundee Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 16.0%, away 9.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.80 | 9.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 6.00 | 9.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.27 | 6.40 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.80 | 9.70 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .