Dundee Utd
vs
Aberdeen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dundee Utd
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
| Probability | Dundee Utd | Draw | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 31.2% | 30.3% |
| Market | 43.0% | 26.5% | 30.4% |
| Final | 41.9% | 27.7% | 30.4% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +4.7% | -0.2% |
Why Dundee Utd
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen match preview
Dundee Utd is set to face Aberdeen in the Scotland Premiership, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Dundee Utd has a 42% probability of winning, while Aberdeen stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Dundee Utd, with an expected goals tally of 1.21 for Dundee Utd and 1.04 for Aberdeen.
In terms of recent form, Dundee Utd has recorded a draw, two wins, another draw, and a loss in their last five matches, while Aberdeen has won two, lost two, and drawn one in their recent outings. The head-to-head record over the last four encounters shows Dundee Utd with 1 win, Aberdeen with 1 win, and 2 draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dundee Utd and Aberdeen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Dundee Utd and Aberdeen attack and defence ratings
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee Utd | 41.9% | 2.39 | -4.5% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee Utd | 41.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Aberdeen | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dundee Utd win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 11.4% |
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen stats
Dundee Utd and Aberdeen recent form
| Dundee Utd |
DWWDLW |
| Aberdeen |
WLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dundee Utd and Aberdeen season so far
Dundee Utd record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Aberdeen record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Aberdeen | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Dundee Utd | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aberdeen | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Dundee Utd | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 26.6%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.54 | 3.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.54 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .