FC Schaffhausen
vs
FC Thun
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Thun
1 – 3 Predicted score · 8% model probability
FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun
| Probability | FC Schaffhausen | Draw | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 12.1% | 80.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 7.5% | 12.1% | 80.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Thun
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.35 vs 1.05.
FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun match preview
FC Schaffhausen faces FC Thun in the Schweizer Cup with a significant disparity in the model probabilities, as FC Thun is favored at 80% to win, compared to FC Schaffhausen's 8%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-3 in favor of FC Thun, reflecting their stronger expected goals of 3.35 against Schaffhausen's 1.05.
Both teams have shown varying recent form, with FC Schaffhausen recording a win, loss, and another win in their last three matches, while FC Thun has had a mixed run with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high at 82%, and there is a 63% chance that both teams will score during the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Schaffhausen and FC Thun expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.41
FC Schaffhausen and FC Thun attack and defence ratings
FC Schaffhausen
FC Thun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Thun | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Thun win | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Schaffhausen | 7.5% |
| Draw | 12.1% | |
| FC Thun | 80.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Thun win | 63.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 19.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 8.1% |
| 0-3 | 7.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
FC Schaffhausen vs FC Thun stats
FC Schaffhausen and FC Thun recent form
| FC Schaffhausen |
WLW |
| FC Thun |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.