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Schweizer Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

2 – 3 Full time

5′A. Bourezak
40′L. Gulen
46′G. Anliker
50′E. Abedini
89′J. Neuenschwander
Langenthal 12%
Draw 20%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLangenthalDrawNeuchatel Xamax FC
Model12.3%19.6%68.1%
Market———
Final12.3%19.6%68.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Neuchatel Xamax FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Langenthal ↓ / Neuchatel Xama → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 9% 1 9% 10% 7% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals

Langenthal 0.88
Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.33

Total expected goals: 3.20

Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC attack and defence ratings

Langenthal

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: result vs prediction

Langenthal 2 – 3 Neuchatel Xamax FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Schweizer Cup

Before and after this match

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Neuchatel Xamax FC 68.1% 1.47 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.3% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.7% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Neuchatel Xamax FC win 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Langenthal12.3%
Draw19.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC68.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.3%
No45.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)31.9%
12 (either side)80.4%
X2 (draw or away)87.7%
Handicap -1Neuchatel Xamax FC win46.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss31.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.8%
1-29.7%
1-19.2%

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC stats

Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form

newest first
Langenthal W
Neuchatel Xamax FC WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.