Langenthal
vs
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Neuchatel Xamax FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
| Probability | Langenthal | Draw | Neuchatel Xamax FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.4% | 22.3% | 61.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.4% | 22.3% | 61.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Neuchatel Xamax FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC match preview
Langenthal faces Neuchatel Xamax FC in the Schweizer Cup on October 18, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Neuchatel victory, assigning them a 61% probability compared to Langenthal's 16%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Langenthal projected to score 1.01 and Neuchatel 2.09. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Langenthal coming off a win, while Neuchatel Xamax FC has struggled, recording one win and five losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 60%, and both teams scoring is at 57%, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting the model's reliance on statistical data.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC attack and defence ratings
Langenthal
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Neuchatel Xamax FC win | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Langenthal | 16.4% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 61.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Neuchatel Xamax FC win | 45.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.9% |
Langenthal vs Neuchatel Xamax FC stats
Langenthal and Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form
| Langenthal |
W |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.