Ümraniyespor
vs
Boluspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ümraniyespor
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
| Probability | Ümraniyespor | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 25.0% | 14.2% |
| Market | 62.3% | 22.4% | 15.4% |
| Final | 61.9% | 23.0% | 15.1% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +2.6% | -1.2% |
Why Ümraniyespor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor match preview
Ümraniyespor is favored to win against Boluspor with a 61% probability, reflecting their stronger recent form compared to Boluspor, who has lost six consecutive matches. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.77 for Ümraniyespor and 0.74 for Boluspor.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Ümraniyespor's last five matches yielding one win and four losses, while Boluspor has not secured a victory in their last six outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 46%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 44%. Historically, Ümraniyespor has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matchups against Boluspor.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ümraniyespor and Boluspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Ümraniyespor and Boluspor attack and defence ratings
Ümraniyespor
Boluspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor v Sivasspor — match page
- Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK — team news & stats
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
Before and after this match
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ümraniyespor | 61.9% | 1.61 | -1.4% | 1.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ümraniyespor | 61.9% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Boluspor | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ümraniyespor win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.3% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor stats
Ümraniyespor and Boluspor recent form
| Ümraniyespor |
DWLLLD |
| Boluspor |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ümraniyespor and Boluspor season so far
Ümraniyespor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boluspor record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Ümraniyespor | Boluspor | 1. Lig | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Boluspor | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.3%, draw 22.4%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.08 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .