Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
New England Revolution
vs
New York City FC
1 – 1 Full time
New England Revolution
44%
Draw
26%
New York City FC
30%
New England Revolution vs New York City FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs New York City FC
| Probability | New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 26.6% | 24.7% |
| Market | 42.1% | 26.4% | 31.5% |
| Final | 43.8% | 26.4% | 29.8% |
| Edge | +6.6% | +0.1% | -6.7% |
Why New England Revolution
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices New England Revolution below the model: +6.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
New England Revolution and New York City FC expected goals
New England Revolution
1.67
New York City FC
1.13
Total expected goals: 2.80
New England Revolution and New York City FC attack and defence ratings
New England Revolution
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.88 -12%
New York City FC
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
New England Revolution vs New York City FC: result vs prediction
New England Revolution 1 – 1 New York City FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
New England Revolution vs New York City FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 43.8% | 2.28 | +6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 43.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| New York City FC | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | New England Revolution win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
New England Revolution vs New York City FC stats
New England Revolution and New York City FC recent form
| New England Revolution |
WLLDWD |
| New York City FC |
LLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New England Revolution and New York City FC going into this match
New England Revolution record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
New York City FC record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New England Revolution vs New York City FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
2New England Revolution wins
3Draws
4New York City FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | New England Revolution | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | New York City FC | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-09 | New England Revolution | New York City FC | Leagues Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | New England Revolution | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | New York City FC | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-03 | New York City FC | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-01 | New England Revolution | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-05 | New England Revolution | New York City FC | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2022-07-09 | New York City FC | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
New England Revolution vs New York City FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 26.4%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.32 | 3.60 | 2.78 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.52 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.64 | 3.12 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.24 ▼ -0.05
X
3.58 ▼ -0.02
2
3.00 ▲ +0.12
4 snapshots recorded, from .