Albania
vs
Belarus
2 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | ivan tikhomirov | ||
| 32′ | Artem Kontsevoy | ||
| 34′ | Kristjan Asllani | ||
| 45′ | Evgeni Malashevich | ||
| 45′ | Ernest Muci | ||
| 45′ | Ylber Ramadani | ||
| 45′ | ivan tikhomirovKirill Gomanov | ||
| 45′ | Artem KontsevoyAnton Kovalev | ||
| 61′ | Taulant SeferiMyrto Uzuni | ||
| 65′ | Valeri GromykoVitali Lisakovich | ||
| 65′ | Aleksandr SelyavaAleksandr Svirepa | ||
| 74′ | Rey ManajMirlind Daku | ||
| 74′ | Ernest MuciAnis·Mehmeti | ||
| 85′ | Stavros Pilios | ||
| 85′ | German BarkovskiyTimofey Simanenka | ||
| 86′ | Kristjan AsllaniJuljan Shehu | ||
| 87′ | Arber HoxhaMario Mitaj | ||
| 90′ | Zakhar Volkov |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 408 | Accurate passes | 331 |
Albania vs Belarus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Albania vs Belarus
| Probability | Albania | Draw | Belarus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 28.1% | 18.5% |
| Market | 59.1% | 24.4% | 16.5% |
| Final | 57.7% | 25.3% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -5.6% | +3.7% | +1.9% |
Why Albania
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Albania and Belarus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Albania and Belarus attack and defence ratings
Albania
Belarus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Albania vs Belarus: result vs prediction
Albania 2 – 0 Belarus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League C - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Albania vs Belarus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albania | 57.7% | 1.73 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albania | 57.7% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Belarus | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Albania win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Albania vs Belarus stats
Albania vs Belarus head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-18 | Albania | Belarus | UEFA Nations League | 3-2 |
| 2020-09-04 | Belarus | Albania | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Albania vs Belarus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 24.4%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.98 | 6.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.94 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.93 | 5.90 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.49 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .