UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 1

Montenegro vs Cyprus

2 – 1 Full time

2′Konstantinos Sotiriou
45′Andreas ShikkisNicholas Tsaroulla
46′Grigoris Kastanos
55′Marcus Edwards
59′Stevan JovetićMilan Vukotic
60′Ognjen GasevicMarko Vešović
65′Nicholas Tsaroulla
66′Nikola Krstović
68′Igor Vujacic
70′Marcus EdwardsLoizos Loizou
71′Marinos TzionisStavros Georgiou
71′panagiotis andreouLeonidas·Konomis
71′Vasilije AdzicDušan Vuković
86′Milutin Osmajić
89′Marko JankovićMilos Brnovic
89′Nikola KrstovićStefan Loncar
90′Nikolas PanagiotouA. Neophytou

Stadion pod Goricom, PodgoricaReferee: Daniele Chiffi

Montenegro 50%
Draw 26%
Cyprus 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
64 Possession % 36
8 Corners 1
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
467 Accurate passes 229

Montenegro vs Cyprus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Montenegro vs Cyprus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMontenegroDrawCyprus
Model38.3%25.0%36.8%
Market53.5%26.3%20.2%
Final49.7%26.0%24.3%
Edge-15.2%-1.3%+16.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Montenegro ↓ / Cyprus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Montenegro and Cyprus expected goals

Montenegro 1.82
Cyprus 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.48

Montenegro and Cyprus attack and defence ratings

Montenegro

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Cyprus

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.52 +52%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Montenegro vs Cyprus: result vs prediction

Montenegro 2 – 1 Cyprus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League C - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Montenegro vs Cyprus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Montenegro 49.7% 2.01 -15.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.5% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.8% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Montenegro49.7%
Draw26.0%
Cyprus24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%
Both teams to scoreYes66.5%
No33.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.3%
Handicap -1Montenegro win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss58.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.4%
1-28.2%

Montenegro vs Cyprus stats

Montenegro and Cyprus recent form

newest first
Montenegro LWLLLL
Cyprus LWDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Montenegro vs Cyprus head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Montenegro wins 1Draws 0Cyprus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-11-17MontenegroCyprusUEFA Nations League4-0
2020-09-05CyprusMontenegroUEFA Nations League0-2
2018-03-23CyprusMontenegroFriendlies0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Montenegro vs Cyprus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 26.4%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 3.68 4.90
Bet365 1.80 3.50 4.50
BetVictor 1.75 3.60 4.60
Betano 1.85 3.65 4.75
Betfair 1.75 3.40 4.60
Marathonbet 1.78 3.64 4.85
Pinnacle 1.79 3.68 4.74
SBO 1.82 3.28 3.94
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.79 ▲ +0.16
X 3.64 ▼ -0.26
2 4.74 ▼ -0.66

16 snapshots recorded, from .